Philip Davis
Philip Davis
Stop FollowingPhilip Davis
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Philip Davis
Stop FollowingPhilip Davis
Options Trader: Thursday Outlook [View article]
My risk is $75 and my potential profit is $225 - you should really learn to understand the mechanics of a trade before you criticize it as I would have to buy $5,000 worth of ENR and they would have to make 4% by Friday just to make the same $225 while my risk of a gap down is significantly higher than my risk of a gap up on the call I sold as the stock has to go to $52.25 (up 4%) JUST for my caller to get his $225 back.
This is what we teach at Philstockworld, how to use options to DECREASE your risk and make superior returns. I don't think ENER is a bad stock at all, I just don't go chasing 40% moves no matter how much we love a stock.
Ted: I advise rather than spend $22K on a single contract that is a horribly bad idea (for pretty much the same reasons that I just told Expert you don't chase ENER and note the $90 was the insurmountable barrier), you should spend $49 and spend a month papertrading our picks on my web site. This is not a shameless plug - we really do help people just like you every day!
You are, frankly, lucky you still have .56 of value for a call that's more than 10% out of the money with no expected event. There is no cheap way to "save" this play as the premiums for the other months are ridiculous on V.
The correct way to play this (other than cashing out and moving on) would be to roll yourself down to the $80s at $7.65 (+ $7.09) and sell the $85s for $3.75, which brings the total cost of your play to $1.10 + $7.09 - $3,75 = $4.44 and any finish above $84.44 gets you even. The most you can make on that play is .56 because above that you owe the $85 caller money but it has a very good chance of getting your $10,800 back (assuming you have $88K for the new play!).
Another expensive way to "fix" this is to take the low premium ($2.80) June $80s for $10.10, which will lose approximately .60 of premium between now and expiration and sell those same $85s, which have $1.45 of premium, after which you will "roll" that position to the June $85s, now $7.10 for a net collection of perhaps $8.50 against your $11.20 investment meaning you need a June finish above $82.70 to "win."
There is one other thing you can do but it's risky:
Since you already have the 200 $95s you can sell 200 $90s for $1.52 and 200 $85 puts for $1.52 covered with 200 $80 puts for .38. That puts net $53,000 back in your pocket and you are playing for the stock to finish between $80 and $90 on Friday. You would need $5 per contract in margin to make this trade ($100K) and you do risk that loss (less the $53K you collected) if the stock goes all the way up to $95 or down to $80.
There are about 5 other strategies we teach on our site to save a play like this but mainly we teach you never to put yourself in this position in the first place!
Good luck....